Darkfost Responds to the View that a 20% Drop in U.S. Stocks Could Lead BTC to Plunge to $10,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost has analyzed the recent viewpoint that a 20% drop in U.S. stocks could lead Bitcoin to plummet to $10,000, arguing that this prediction is overly extreme and lacks historical basis. If Bitcoin were to drop to $10,000, it would represent a decline of about 87% from the current price and a retracement of approximately 92% from its historical peak. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum retracement of over 92% once in 2011, with maximum retracements in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 being 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost pointed out that when the S&P 500 index retraced by about 19.53%, Bitcoin fell by about 80% in 2018, but when the S&P 500 index similarly retraced over 19% in April 2025, Bitcoin only dropped by about 22%. Therefore, directly linking a 20% drop in U.S. stocks to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 lacks sufficient historical data support.

This content is provided for general informational purposes only and doesn't constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Any events, rewards, online promotions, or related information mentioned herein should not be considered a recommendation, solicitation, or invitation to purchase, sell, trade, or otherwise deal in any crypto assets. Crypto assets are highly volatile and may result in loss. The availability of WEEX services, products, and related events may vary by region. You are responsible for ensuring that your participation is in accordance with applicable local laws and regulations.