Polymarket Israeli Prime Minister Election Volume Exceeds $55 Million, Eisenkot's Winning Probability at 55%

Polymarket's trading volume for the Israeli Prime Minister election contracts has surpassed $55 million, with Gadi Eisenkot's probability of winning at 55% and Benjamin Netanyahu at 29%. Eisenkot, a former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, is currently the leader of the Yashar party, and the contracts pertain to the Prime Minister candidate following the parliamentary elections on October 27, 2026. Traditional polls indicate that Eisenkot's camp is leading Netanyahu's camp by 6 seats, but no party has yet secured a majority on its own. The Israel Democracy Institute has urged the Central Elections Committee to consider the odds from prediction markets as polls and to restrict the release of related results before the election.

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